Why So Many AI Researchers Think the Machines Could Kill Everyone
WIRED asked why so many AI researchers think the machines could kill everyone. We counted. The article quotes five people and contains one probability, Evan Hubinger’s greater-than-10% within a decade. The best headcounts are a July letter signed by 1,386 frontier-lab employees and a survey of 2,778 AI researchers whose median estimate for an extremely bad outcome was 5%. We also checked WIRED’s details against its own links.